"We can't protect everywhere. There isn't insurance for crop damage. We don't get compensation."
换言之,在他看来,AI 不是能源杀手,而是未来文明的必需品,就像电灯发明时也有人担心蜡烛业失业一样。这个观点不是 Altman 首创。早在 AI 热潮前,就有专家比过生物大脑和硅芯片的效率。但 Altman 作为 OpenAI 老大,说出来影响力大,瞬间成了 X 上的热点,视频有两千多万次浏览,引爆了讨论。
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But what if it’s not fine? Even back in 1996, before a single component of the ISS was launched into orbit, NASA foresaw the possibility of an even worse worst-case scenario: an uncontrolled reentry. The crux of this scenario involves multiple systems failing in an improbable but not completely impossible cascade. Cabin depressurization could damage the avionics. The electrical power system could go offline, along with thermal control and data handling. Without these, systems controlling coolant and even propellant could break down. Unmoored, the ISS would edge slowly toward Earth, maybe over a year or two, with no way to control where it is headed or where its debris might land. And no, we could not save ourselves by blowing the station up. This would be extremely dangerous and almost certainly create an enormous amount of space trash—which is how we got into this hypothetical mess in the first place.